Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.038155 0.041506 0.044880 0.048525 0.052346 0.056227 0.060460
2025-11-02 0.031346 0.036165 0.041184 0.046777 0.052812 0.059107 0.066146
2025-11-09 0.026903 0.032767 0.039063 0.046270 0.054239 0.062730 0.072414
2025-11-16 0.023498 0.030120 0.037433 0.046007 0.055689 0.066194 0.078368
2025-11-23 0.021682 0.029045 0.037373 0.047332 0.058768 0.071355 0.086123
2025-11-30 0.020050 0.028006 0.037209 0.048412 0.061473 0.076026 0.093285
2025-12-07 0.018438 0.026839 0.036767 0.049062 0.063595 0.079975 0.099586
2025-12-14 0.016786 0.025483 0.035986 0.049210 0.065052 0.083099 0.104901
2025-12-21 0.015832 0.024919 0.036098 0.050368 0.067651 0.087510 0.111672
2025-12-28 0.014069 0.023181 0.034652 0.049543 0.067816 0.089027 0.115050
2026-01-04 0.012951 0.022213 0.034106 0.049765 0.069189 0.091926 0.120009
2026-01-11 0.012140 0.021600 0.033966 0.050453 0.071098 0.095437 0.125673
2026-01-18 0.011287 0.020898 0.033703 0.051002 0.072876 0.098854 0.131314
2026-01-25 0.009666 0.018985 0.031749 0.049317 0.071836 0.098851 0.132876
2026-02-01 0.008632 0.017849 0.030778 0.048851 0.072276 0.100608 0.136520
2026-02-08 0.007767 0.016899 0.030009 0.048606 0.072963 0.102644 0.140484
2026-02-15 0.007484 0.016838 0.030470 0.049990 0.075722 0.107226 0.147535
2026-02-22 0.007144 0.016660 0.030746 0.051114 0.078143 0.111394 0.154093
2026-03-01 0.006701 0.016276 0.030703 0.051789 0.079976 0.114829 0.159763
2026-03-08 0.006150 0.015666 0.030298 0.051943 0.081115 0.117393 0.164364
2026-03-15 0.005913 0.015579 0.030654 0.053142 0.083617 0.121662 0.171066
2026-03-22 0.005184 0.014557 0.029564 0.052289 0.083394 0.122493 0.173524
2026-03-29 0.004770 0.014069 0.029258 0.052519 0.084588 0.125099 0.178169